Israeli Intelligence Reports Iran Retains Over One Thousand Ballistic Missiles Capable of Striking Israel

IAF intelligence confirms Iran still holds over 1,000 long-range ballistic missiles despite heavy losses and strikes during the ongoing war.

By: AXL Media

Published: Apr 4, 2026, 2:45 PM EDT

Source: Information for this report was sourced from Channel 12 news

Assessing the Resilience of Iran’s Long Range Arsenal

A senior Israeli Air Force intelligence officer has provided a sobering update on the remaining strike capabilities of the Iranian military. Lt. Col. “Tet,” who leads research for the Air Intelligence Group, informed Channel 12 news that the Islamic Republic still commands a force of more than 1,000 ballistic missiles capable of reaching Israel. This assessment highlights the scale of the Iranian missile program, which began the current conflict with an estimated stockpile of 2,500 functional ballistic units.

Depletion Rates and Operational Attrition

The reduction in Iran’s available arsenal follows months of high intensity regional hostilities. Since the outbreak of the war, Iran has launched more than 500 missiles directly at Israeli targets, while hundreds more have been fired at various other nations across the Middle East. Additionally, Israeli military officials believe that a significant portion of the original stockpile was successfully neutralized through precision strikes on launch sites and storage facilities, though a substantial and dangerous surplus clearly remains operational.

Shifting Volatility in Daily Launch Patterns

Recent intelligence data suggests a notable change in the tempo of Iranian missile operations. While the first day of the war saw a peak of approximately 90 missile launches, that frequency has slowed to between 10 and 15 launches per day in recent weeks. Despite this downward trend in volume, Israeli defense planners caution that the lower rate does not necessarily indicate a lack of capability, but rather a strategic adjustment to the prolonged nature of the current military engagement.